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Russia-Ukraine War. The Prospects of Peaceful Resolution Amidst Global Challenges and Imminent Risk of Nuclear War

Moses Appiah

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Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Vergleichende und internationale Politikwissenschaft

Beschreibung

Seminar paper from the year 2022 in the subject Politics - Topic: Peace and Conflict, Security, grade: A, Linköping University (IER), course: Diplomacy, language: English, abstract: This study highlights the challenges and risks posed by the Russian-Ukraine war from the perspective of the prolonged absence of peaceful negotiations. The war has in diverse ways created divisions among states, thereby posing a challenge for both ally nations, traitors and enemies alike. The world has barely recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic, which in particular has already landed the economies of many states into recession, causing an increased inflation rate and relatedly high cost of living. Forced migration caused by wars in the Middle East has consistently influenced migrant flows towards northern Africa and the EU; additionally, the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine introduces yet another significant number of migrant flows towards the EU. Energy supplies in many countries have been severely impacted; the rising cost of crude oil has subsequently affected the cost of transportation and industrial production, such as agricultural inputs like fertilisers. Additionally, it is feared that at some point, if the war should unduly progress, superpowers possessing nuclear weapons may employ their use to exert their dominance or superiority, to deter, or to compel ‘enemies’ to surrender. Given the scale of challenges the war presents, this study tries to make meaning of the failure in attempts at a peaceful resolution both from the perspectives of institutionalism and the realist conception of state interest. The relevance of mediation using the case of the Minsk agreement reflects some traits of the non-binding weaknesses that usually plague the outcomes of mediation. Therefore, it is important to emphasise that in the absence of any binding legal framework or arbitrary principles, outcomes from mediations will remain quite fragile and, thus, subject to possible non-compliance by aggrieved disputants. This poses as the main setback in the efforts to mediation process.

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Schlagwörter

Security, Diplomacy, peace, conflict, mediation, aggression, organisation, institution, realism.