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Myanmar's response options for implementing the United Nations Security Council Resolution (UNSCR). Potential Risk Analysis

Mathias Jahn

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Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Vergleichende und internationale Politikwissenschaft

Beschreibung

Seminar paper from the year 2023 in the subject Politics - Region: South Asia, grade: A+, Nanyang Technological University (S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS)), course: Political Risk Analysis, language: English, abstract: The analysis of three response options to UNSCR 2669 suggests that it will coincide with the Military Caretaker Government's aim to retain its power posture with the mainstream scenario ("Stalling Strategy & One-Party Rule"). Furthermore, though resulting in a protracted civil war, the regime's past successful economic stabilization efforts will contribute to the recovery of MMR's macro-/ microeconomics, indicating a shift of political risk from a negative to a neutral zone by Q4/2023 onwards.

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Schlagwörter

Myanmar, Political Risk Analysis, Scenario Analysis