The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process
Project Management in Prevention and Support
Marcus Hellwig
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Naturwissenschaften, Medizin, Informatik, Technik / Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie, Stochastik, Mathematische Statistik
Beschreibung
With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".
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Schlagwörter
stochastic systems, public health, statistics, virology, probability theory