Leseprobe
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How Statesmen Think
Robert Jervis
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Sachbuch / Gesellschaft
Beschreibung
Robert Jervis has been a pioneering leader in the study of the psychology of international politics for more than four decades. How Statesmen Think presents his most important ideas on the subject from across his career. This collection of revised and updated essays applies, elaborates, and modifies his pathbreaking work. The result is an indispensable book for students and scholars of international relations.
How Statesmen Think demonstrates that expectations and political and psychological needs are the major drivers of perceptions in international politics, as well as in other arenas. Drawing on the increasing attention psychology is paying to emotions, the book discusses how emotional needs help structure beliefs. It also shows how decision-makers use multiple shortcuts to seek and process information when making foreign policy and national security judgments. For example, the desire to conserve cognitive resources can cause decision-makers to look at misleading indicators of military strength, and psychological pressures can lead them to run particularly high risks. The book also looks at how deterrent threats and counterpart promises often fail because they are misperceived.
How Statesmen Think examines how these processes play out in many situations that arise in foreign and security policy, including the threat of inadvertent war, the development of domino beliefs, the formation and role of national identities, and conflicts between intelligence organizations and policymakers.
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Psychology, Decision-making, Total war, Kenneth Waltz, Deterrence theory, Foreign policy, Great power, Al-Qaeda, Anecdote, Hostility, Limited war, World War II, Uncertainty, Prediction, Credibility, Ambiguity, Princeton University Press, Prospect theory, Henry Kissinger, Probability, World War I, Obstacle, Estimation, Robert Jervis, Cuban Missile Crisis, Domino theory, Richard Ned Lebow, Policy, Causality, War, Intelligence agency, Explanation, International relations, Nuclear weapon, Trade-off, Coercive diplomacy, North Vietnam, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Loss aversion, National security, John F. Kennedy, Theory of International Politics, Literature, Unintended consequences, Thought, Cold War, Nikita Khrushchev, United States Department of State, Result, Oxford University Press, Foreign policy of the United States, Self-image, Rationality, Pessimism, Mikhail Gorbachev, Soviet Union, World Politics, Calculation, Appeasement, Politics, Containment, Political psychology, Security dilemma, Inference, Ideology, Nuclear warfare, International security, Superiority (short story), Arms control, Base rate