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Classical Probability in the Enlightenment

Lorraine Daston

EPUB
ca. 69,99

Princeton University Press img Link Publisher

Naturwissenschaften, Medizin, Informatik, Technik / Naturwissenschaften allgemein

Beschreibung

What did it mean to be reasonable in the Age of Reason? Classical probabilists from Jakob Bernouli through Pierre Simon Laplace intended their theory as an answer to this question--as "nothing more at bottom than good sense reduced to a calculus," in Laplace's words. In terms that can be easily grasped by nonmathematicians, Lorraine Daston demonstrates how this view profoundly shaped the internal development of probability theory and defined its applications.

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Schlagwörter

Theory, Sensibility, Treatise, Pierre-Simon Laplace, Equiprobability, Quantification (science), Archives nationales (France), Critique, Injunction, Principle of indifference, Probability interpretations, Quantity, Bayes' theorem, Rationality, Verisimilitude, Adolphe Quetelet, Error, Computation, Gerd Gigerenzer, A priori probability, Result, Reality, Blaise Pascal, Consideration, Abraham de Moivre, Hypothesis, Insurance, Mathematician, Calculation, Reason, Estimation, Inference, Self-interest, Probability theory, Philosophy, Principle, Fair coin, Statistics, Analogy, Presumption (canon law), Emergence, Philosopher, Stipulation, Determination, Ars Conjectandi, Axiom, Inverse probability, Principia Mathematica, Uncertainty, Rebuttal, Explanation, Bayesian probability, Contradiction, Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz, Reasonable person, Ambiguity, Prediction, Disadvantage, Mathematics, Theorem, Credibility, Objective Probability, Probability, Phenomenon, Statistic, Determinism, Illustration, Daniel Bernoulli, Moral certainty, Certainty