Leseprobe
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The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level
John H. Cochrane
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Sozialwissenschaften, Recht, Wirtschaft / Wirtschaft
Beschreibung
A comprehensive account of how government deficits and debt drive inflation
Where do inflation and deflation ultimately come from? The fiscal theory of the price level offers a simple answer: Prices adjust so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of taxes less spending. Inflation breaks out when people don’t expect the government to fully repay its debts. The fiscal theory is well suited to today’s economy: Financial innovation undermines money demand, and central banks don’t control the money supply or aggressively change interest rates, invalidating classic theories, while large debts and deficits threaten inflation and constrain monetary policy. This book presents a comprehensive account of this important theory from one of its leading developers and advocates.
John Cochrane aims to make fiscal theory useful as a conceptual framework and modeling tool, and for analyzing history and policy. He merges fiscal theory with standard models in which central banks set interest rates, giving a novel account of monetary policy. He generalizes the theory to explain data and make realistic predictions. For example, inflation decreases in recessions despite deficits because discount rates fall, raising the value of debt; specifying that governments promise to partially repay debt avoids classic puzzles and allows the theory to apply at all times, not just during periods of high inflation. Cochrane offers an extensive rethinking of monetary doctrines and institutions through the eyes of fiscal theory, and analyzes the era of zero interest rates and post-pandemic inflation.
Filled with research by Cochrane and others, The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level offers important new insights about fiscal and monetary policy.
Kundenbewertungen
Diversification (finance), Price Change, Real interest rate, Price fixing, Credit risk, Terminal value (finance), Market liquidity, Marginal rate of substitution, Modern Monetary Theory, Debt, Real business-cycle theory, Fiscal multiplier, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, Trade credit, Consumption (economics), The Wealth Effect, Central bank, Inflation tax, Inflation, Debt-to-GDP ratio, Price elasticity of demand, Default (finance), Government budget balance, Currency union, Fiscal space, Stock valuation, Public finance, Tax reform, Economics, GDP deflator, Monetary Theory, Microeconomic reform, Monetary reform, Nominal interest rate, Monetary authority, Stochastic discount factor, Interest rate risk, Price controls, Quantity theory of money, Real versus nominal value (economics), Fiscal policy, Keynesian economics, Monetary policy, Inflation swap, Fiscal adjustment, Financial economics, Interest rate, Economic planning, Mark-to-market accounting, Tax policy, Price level, Liquidity premium, Supply-side economics, Consumer economy, Macroeconomics, Consumer debt, Credit (finance), Economic equilibrium, Fiscal theory of the price level, Government debt, Supply (economics), Accounting rate of return, Asset price inflation, Financial correlation, Inflation targeting, Value (economics), Credit spread (options), GDP-linked bond, Money market, Interest Cost